Strength
Strength
|
65 19 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
627 -204 Strength Momentum |
870 34.9(64) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/27/15 | Tierra Encantada | 0.002 | 710 | W 7- 1 | Better (+7) | 963 | 41% | |
| 08/31/15 | at Questa | 0.010 | 592 | W 3- 2 | Expected (+1) | 669 | 52% | |
| 09/04/15 | Rehoboth Christian ?? | 0.012 | 694 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-4) | 450 | 43% | |
| 09/08/15 | at Pojoaque ! | 0.034 | 794 | W 2- 1 | Better (+3) | 770 | 27% | |
| 09/10/15 | at Portales ? | 0.034 | 819 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-2) | 531 | 24% | |
| 09/14/15 | Questa | 0.057 | 592 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+3) | 801 | 57% | |
| 09/16/15 | at St. Michael's | 0.096 | 870 | L 1- 3 | Expected (+1) | 658 | 20% | |
| 09/19/15 | Hatch | 0.110 | 987 | L 1- 4 | Expected (0) | 647 | 15% | |
| 09/21/15 | Robertson !! | 0.179 | 993 | W 1- 0 | Better (+4) | 850 | 15% | |
| 09/24/15 | at Santa Fe Prep | 0.078 | 985 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-3) | 459 | 12% | |
| 09/28/15 | Monte del Sol | 0.167 | 918 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-2) | 510 | 20% | |
| 10/01/15 | at Hatch | 0.309 | 987 | L 0- 4 | Expected (0) | 615 | 12% | |
| 10/09/15 | St. Michael's | 0.529 | 870 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-1) | 588 | 23% | |
| 10/15/15 | at Bernalillo | 0.625 | 898 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-1) | 571 | 18% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Monte del Sol | 0.863 | 918 | L 1- 3 | Expected (+1) | 682 | 17% | |
| 10/19/15 | Santa Fe Prep | 0.724 | 985 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 646 | 15% | |
| 10/23/15 | Pojoaque | 0.869 | 794 | L 2- 4 | Expected (-1) | 601 | 31% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Desert Academy actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 870, while
Desert Academy's "weighted playing strength" is 627
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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